Here are the factors real estate wholesalers should be monitoring as they plan acquisitions and marketing campaigns now.
The Supply Chain
Manipulated or just messed up, the average US household is finding supply chain pains and disruptions very real.
Some are ignoring it and hoping it passes. Others are stressed about it. Some are finding it painful as they can’t find their kids’ favorite foods and the end of year holiday season is a big question mark.
In real estate it means that some construction materials are not available. Furniture is hard to come by, and orders placed are not guaranteed to arrive. Rehabs are taking longer than normal. Fewer new homes will be coming to market.
The Second & Third Home Market Is Growing
According to Bloomberg the demand for second and third homes is growing. This can be a great niche for wholesalers to target. One which is often rich with qualified buyers who aren’t price sensitive.
The New Recession
Some analysts are arguing that by the time the next set of economic data comes out it will reveal that we’ve already entered a new recession. They are mostly basing this on what they see as the leading indicator of falling consumer sentiment.
While the majority of mainstream data being published shows the economy is growing, while mortgage forbearances decline and unemployment is low, it is important for investors to seek out the raw data to draw their own common sense conclusions as well.
On the bright side, recessions are a great time for real estate wholesalers to find distressed inventory.
Though any new stimulus and new policies could easily mask a dip or extend the current run up.
Warp Speed Inflation
Those making less than $250,0000 are probably feeling the impact of rampant inflation already. It is at the grocery store, the gas station, and in the tax bills. There is no sign of it slowing.
The good news is that real estate keeps growing faster than inflation. That includes house prices and rents. Many of which are up 50% to 70% this year alone.
Liquidity & Credit
How fast things can continue to grow versus running into a financial crunch depends a lot on credit markets. This includes interest rates, international credit, and mortgage availability. Some markets have been seeing close to 60% of home sales going to cash buyers already. Financing is essential to keep things moving. Right now that money is available. Especially for real estate wholesalers. Take advantage of it.
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