As many have been fearing, eviction bans and foreclosure moratoriums could become the new normal. What does that mean for real estate investors?
Despite the real data suggesting that mortgage loan borrowers and renters are performing great, with few defaults, bans and moratoriums have continually been extended. Even despite being ruled unconstitutional.
Current layers of rulings seem to effectively make these bans run into at least 2022.
The Federal Disaster Housing Stability Act of 2021
This one new bill that is being pushed toward becoming legislation could drag out eviction bans and foreclosure moratoriums, and make them much more commonplace.
The bill aims to automatically trigger these bans any time there is a federal disaster declared. FEMA says a disaster can be declared for almost any reason, including storms, floods, fire, high water, etc.
Other talk around this topic raises concerns over what could be called a disaster in this context in the future. Could it be poor tenants getting a flat tire and having to pay for a car repair? What about high rents, the eviction itself, homelessness, or climate change?
How long would those bans run for after an event? It is easy to see how they could run consecutively forever.
Ironically, around 90% of the taxes collected to finance relief funds for renters and landlords have not been paid out. They seem likely to continue to be diverted into other political pet projects instead.
What Permanent Eviction & Foreclosure Bans Mean For Investors
While on one hand it seems unfathomable that this has happened to this extent already, investors need to embrace this possibility. At least that it will frequently be the new status quo. You simply won’t be able to count on evicting or foreclosing.
The first and most obvious step for most investors and real estate businesses is to switch to the wholesaling model. Be in and out and paid. No problem.
Find end investor customers who will be high volume buyers. Flippers continue to do well in this hyper inflation environment. Though there are landlords with a track record through covid lockdowns and recent bans. Keep an eye out for those switching to short term rentals, and other creative options to stay ahead of this, and to keep up their volume long term.
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